Foreign Policy Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

F
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

13%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

10%

December 31

$76k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$945k Vol.
$238k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

16%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$354 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
C
China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

7%

Yes

$331k Vol.
$15k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

2%

Yes

$858 Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

36%

60-79

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

72%

80-99

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

46%

80-99

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

51%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$416 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

39%

December 31, 2027

$564k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

96%

October 31

$704k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

5%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

65%

8

$1.7m Vol.
$153k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

60%

December 31

$29.9m Vol.
$468k Liq.
🔥$360k today
581
Ends in 3 months
U
UK election called by...?

UK · pedophile

UK election called by...?

28%

June 30, 2027

$825k Vol.
$4k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

52%

200+

$633 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

44%

200+

$6k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$267k Vol.
$18k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months