Foreign Affairs Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

A
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

5%

December 31

$77k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$984k Vol.
$288k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

28%

Yes

$55k Vol.
$853 Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

5%

December 31

$662k Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
F
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

13%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$308 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

9%

Yes

$3.5m Vol.
$10k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
A
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

May 31

$103k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
I
Israel ground offensive in Rafah when?

Gaza · Israel

Israel ground offensive in Rafah when?

Not by April 19

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
'
'The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare' over $8m opening weekend?

Yes

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
E
Ecuador Presidential Election

Daniel Noboa (ADN)

$4.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,324
Ended
F
friend.tech FDV one day after launch?

<$1b / No token in 2024

$157k Vol.
$0 Liq.
73
Ended
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

April 30

$137k Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended
E
Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?

No

$366k Vol.
$0 Liq.
46
Ended
@
@friendtech 3+ new posts by midnight?

Yes

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
#
# of Conservative seats after UK Election? (125-200)

<125

$283k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
F
Fact Check: Is the suspect a foreign actor?

No

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended
I
Italian Referendum

Italian Referendum

Citizenship Residency Requirement

$223k Vol.
$0 Liq.
44
Ended
W
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

April 22

$170k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10