First Quarter Predictions & Odds· 245 markets

B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

72%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$7.8m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
59
Ends in 12 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

43%

Renan Santos

$1.4m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
147
Ends in 12 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

53%

Lula da Silva <5%

$581k Vol.
$695k Liq.
17
Ends in 12 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner

70%

Lula

$205k Vol.
$497k Liq.
8
Ends in 12 days
W
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

4%

Yes

$298k Vol.
$79k Liq.
34
Ends in 12 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?

35%

2-4%

$90k Vol.
$102k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?

85%

39%+

$71k Vol.
$193k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
M
Miley Cyrus 'Bass Persuades' First Week Album Sales?

63%

50-60k

$26k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$111k Vol.
$170k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?

48%

44%+

$10k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
F
First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?

85%

None by December 25, 2026

$255k Vol.
$101k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Augusto Cury Vote Share?

39%

4-6%

$12k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
A
Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Candidate A

$2k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$6k Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place

50%

Candidate A

$854 Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in 11 days
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

27%

Gonzalo

$41k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

95%

Anthropic

$385k Vol.
$40k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
F
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?

65%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
First to list tokenized stocks in the US?

First to list tokenized stocks in the US?

56%

Coinbase

$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
F
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?

36%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$142 Liq.
Ends in 11 days