Senate Midterms Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

61%

Democratic Party

$4.8m Vol.
$712k Liq.
🔥$51k today
142
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

93%

Democratic Party

$11.9m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$252k today
1
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

Yes

$178k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
Ends in 4 months
H
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

34%

47–49 and 193–207

$39k Vol.
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3
Ends in about 1 month
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

61%

Democrats Sweep

$12.8m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$154k today
292
Ends in about 1 month
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

43%

Michigan

$4k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

51%

Iowa

$669 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Closest Senate Race?

Closest Senate Race?

14%

Iowa

$45k Vol.
$153k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

77%

Texas

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W
Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Which Senate races will be within 1%?

23%

Iowa

$6k Vol.
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Ends in about 1 month
F
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Senate Election?

96%

Yes

$169 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

80%

Democrats

$2k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
B
Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

84%

Yes

$70k Vol.
$10k Liq.
11
Ends in 4 months
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

51%

Yes

$37k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

96%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
R
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

38%

≤47

$2.9m Vol.
$299k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

58%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
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R
Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

43%

September 30

$1k Vol.
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I
Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

38%

4.25M-4.5M

$9k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Texas Senate Election: Turnout

Texas Senate Election: Turnout

28%

9.6M-10M

$5k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month