First Half Predictions & Odds· 203 markets

T
The Game Awards: Game of the Year

The Game Awards: Game of the Year

68%

Grand Theft Auto VI

$51k Vol.
$26k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
L
Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?

67%

4,189.7 ft or more

$81 Vol.
$180 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

9%

Yes

$170 Vol.
$238 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Göttingen Mayoral Election Winner

97%

Onyeka Oshionwu

$19k Vol.
$124k Liq.
Ended
K
Kraków Mayoral Election Winner

Kraków Mayoral Election Winner

83%

Łukasz Gibała

$34k Vol.
$655k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Braunschweig Mayoral Election Winner

Braunschweig Mayoral Election Winner

96%

Thorsten Kornblum

$20k Vol.
$92k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$227 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
H
Hannover Mayoral Election Winner

Hannover Mayoral Election Winner

95%

Belit Onay

$49k Vol.
$166k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
S
SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap

SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap

43%

$40B-$50B

$16k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hannover Region Presidential Election Winner

90%

Eva Bender

$25k Vol.
$101k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
S
Salzgitter Mayoral Election Winner

Salzgitter Mayoral Election Winner

99%

Frank Klingebiel

$21k Vol.
$132k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
A
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

89%

$1.5T

$6k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
H
Holtec Nuclear IPO Closing Market Cap

97%

No IPO before November 2026

$17k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ended
O
Oldenburg Mayoral Election Winner

Oldenburg Mayoral Election Winner

72%

Ulf Prange

$23k Vol.
$105k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
O
Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner

Osnabrück Mayoral Election Winner

96%

Katharina Pötter

$86k Vol.
$149k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

84%

1.8T+

$460k Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
D
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

65%

No IPO by December 31, 2027

$107k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

66%

Democrats Sweep

$13.4m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$244k today
301
Ends in 3 months
L
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

55%

Anthropic

$6.1m Vol.
$810k Liq.
47
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win the Texas State Senate in 2026?

94%

Republican Party

$2k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month