First 100 Days Predictions & Odds· 245 markets

B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

72%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$7.8m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
59
Ends in 12 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

44%

Renan Santos

$1.4m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
148
Ends in 11 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner

70%

Lula

$207k Vol.
$515k Liq.
8
Ends in 11 days
W
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

4%

Yes

$308k Vol.
$71k Liq.
34
Ends in 11 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

53%

Lula da Silva <5%

$582k Vol.
$669k Liq.
17
Ends in 11 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?

86%

39%+

$78k Vol.
$216k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
M
Miley Cyrus 'Bass Persuades' First Week Album Sales?

43%

50-60k

$27k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?

34%

2-4%

$92k Vol.
$111k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?

47%

44%+

$10k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
F
First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?

85%

None by December 25, 2026

$255k Vol.
$97k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
A
Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Candidate A

$2k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
'
'GTA VI: The Album' First Week Sales?

'GTA VI: The Album' First Week Sales?

85%

25k+

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?

92%

No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026

$39k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Augusto Cury Vote Share?

37%

4-6%

$12k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place

50%

Candidate A

$855 Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 days
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

95%

Anthropic

$385k Vol.
$42k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

32%

Gonzalo

$41k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$111k Vol.
$170k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
F
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?

65%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?

34%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$130 Liq.
Ends in 11 days