Federal Government Predictions & Odds· 662 markets

W
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

55%

Unusual Machines

$191k Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

1%

Yes

$319k Vol.
$3k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

1%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

43%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$138k Vol.
$204k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

0%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
F
Federal District Governor Election Winner

Federal District Governor Election Winner

93%

Celina Leão

$25k Vol.
$111k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
F
Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place

88%

Michelle Bolsonaro

$34k Vol.
$157k Liq.
1
Ends in 8 days
W
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

44%

Yes

$36k Vol.
$472 Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
O
Obama federally charged before 2027?

Obama federally charged before 2027?

5%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

1%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nick Fuentes federally charged?

Nick Fuentes federally charged?

1%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 4 days
E
E. Jean Carroll federally charged by...?

28%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$51 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

8%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$14k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

63%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

58%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$251 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

17%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

8%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames AI by...?

Trump renames AI by...?

59%

December 31

$341k Vol.
$39k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

7%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

14%

Yes

$83k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months