F 35 Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

T
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?

Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?

31%

June 30, 2027

$45k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

96%

October 31

$691k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
C
CA-35 House Election Margin of Victory

CA-35 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$22 Vol.
$558 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
CA-35 House Election Winner

CA-35 House Election Winner

95%

Norma Torres (D)

$36k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
U
US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

42%

December 31

$49k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$285k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
T
TX-35 House Election Winner

TX-35 House Election Winner

65%

Johnny Garcia (D)

$15k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

44%

180-199

$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
White House # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

46%

200+

$207 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
U
US x Russia military clash by...?

3%

Yes

$1.8m Vol.
$17k Liq.
17
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?

20%

December 31

$54k Vol.
$31k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

95%

September 20

$1.0m Vol.
$141k Liq.
🔥$762k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

28%

December 31

$7.1m Vol.
$299k Liq.
🔥$111k today
240
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

64%

160-179

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
T
TX-35 House Election Margin of Victory

TX-35 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$2k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

98%

Trump

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
U
US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

11%

Yes

$3.5m Vol.
$17k Liq.
168
Ends in 3 months
I
India strike on Pakistan by...?

India strike on Pakistan by...?

14%

Yes

$993k Vol.
$12k Liq.
70
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

5%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in 11 days