European Union Predictions & Odds· 246 markets

W
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

14%

Mexico

$398k Vol.
$125k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?

36%

December 31, 2027

$4k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
V
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

5%

Yes

$44k Vol.
$15k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
E
EU dissolves before 2027?

Politics · World

EU dissolves before 2027?

1%

Yes

$181k Vol.
$21k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada applies for full EU membership by...?

Canada applies for full EU membership by...?

14%

December 31, 2027

$2k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
A
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Politics · Geopolitics

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

3%

Yes

$168k Vol.
$16k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

17%

Yes

$454 Vol.
$808 Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
E
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?

71%

December 31

$26 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.2m Vol.
$182k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
E
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?

16%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?

7%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
R
Russia military action against EU country by...?

Russia military action against EU country by...?

12%

December 31

$169k Vol.
$111k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
E
Eurovision 2027 Participants

Eurovision 2027 Participants

96%

Canada

$28k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in 8 months