Eruption Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

6%

Yes

$147k Vol.
$9k Liq.
9
Ends in 6 months
E
Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?

Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?

12%

Yes

$21 Vol.
$50 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
V
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

7%

Yes

$660 Vol.
$15 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

41%

0

$1.2m Vol.
$8k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$336 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$792k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

9%

Yes

$207k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
K
Khamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

97%

<5

$17k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
1
100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

3%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months
K
Khamenei # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

94%

<5

$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

27%

Yes

$314k Vol.
$855 Liq.
Ends in 5 months
K
Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

92%

<5

$227 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

19%

Yes

$247k Vol.
$1k Liq.
17
Ends in 5 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$283k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$566 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

46%

80-99

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

24%

100-119

$105 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

97%

China

$1k Vol.
$928 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
1
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1%

Yes

$117k Vol.
$4k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months