Emergency Predictions & Odds· 385 markets

F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

2%

Yes

$238k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?

2%

Central US (SPP)

$44k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
S
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

20%

December 31

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

17%

Yes

$200k Vol.
$13k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

14%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.8m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$325k today
210
Ends in 6 months
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

38%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$120k Vol.
$219k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

3%

Yes

$18.4m Vol.
$172k Liq.
🔥$71k today
569
Ends in 3 months
E
Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

3%

Yes

$767k Vol.
$58k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?

14%

December 31

$55k Vol.
$31k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

5%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$826 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Mexico Decision in September?

99%

No change

$76k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

56%

2 (50 bps)

$632k Vol.
$224k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

92%

No change

$22k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Swiss National Bank decision in September?

Swiss National Bank decision in September?

100%

No Change

$42k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
I
Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?

9%

Yes

$988 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of Japan Decision in December?

Bank of Japan Decision in December?

59%

25 bps increase

$6k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

59%

25 bps increase

$16k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Reserve Bank of India decision in October

Reserve Bank of India decision in October

79%

25 bps increase

$23k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

97%

0 (0 bps)

$53.3m Vol.
$4.2m Liq.
121
Ends in 3 months
E
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

55%

No change

$197k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month