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Federal Reserve Predictions & Odds· 300 markets

AllPoliticsCryptoEthereumBusinessFinanceTrumpFederal ReserveFedBitcoinFed RatesEconomyFOMCTrump PresidencyMacro SingleParlaysJerome PowellRecurringEconomic PolicyMacro IndicatorsLisa CookGlobal RatesRateFed ChairWarshKevin WarshGov ReserveCPI Release
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

36%

Hike–Pause–Hike

$89k Vol.
$153k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

Crypto·Gov Reserve

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

4%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Politics·Jerome Powell

Fed abolished before 2027?

2%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Finance·Gov Reserve

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

7%

Yes

$61k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Politics·Fed Rates

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

54%

4.25%

$6.9m Vol.
$460k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in December?

Economy·Fed

Fed Decision in December?

68%

25 bps increase

$1.1m Vol.
$491k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in October?

Economy·Fed

Fed Decision in October?

56%

25 bps increase

$7.7m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
🔥$306k today
Ends in about 1 month
F
Fed Decision in January?

Economy·Fed

Fed Decision in January?

57%

No change

$92k Vol.
$286k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Economy·Jerome Powell

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

78%

↑ 4.25%

$1.8m Vol.
$261k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Politics·Fed Chair

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

20%

Yes

$447k Vol.
$3k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Economy·Fed

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

3%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Politics·Fed Chair

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

10%

December 31

$31k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Economy·Fed

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

84%

Yes

$47k Vol.
$179k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Finance·Business

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

3%

Yes

$231k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

60%

2 (50 bps)

$532k Vol.
$137k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Finance·Jerome Powell

Fed rate cut by...?

45%

July 2027 Meeting

$3.7m Vol.
$154k Liq.
31
Ends in 4 months
L
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

Finance·Fed

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

5%

December 31

$23k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?

Politics·Trump

Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?

14%

Yes

$27k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

96%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Economy·Fed

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

10%

June 30, 2027

$48k Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

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Popular Federal Reserve Predictions

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

New Federal Reserve Predictions

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?