European Central Bank Predictions & Odds· 122 markets

C
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

25%

Yes

$25k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
E
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

73%

No change

$223k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

66%

25 bps increase

$21k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
ECB rate cut in 2026?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

5%

Yes

$36k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
E
European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?

Yes

$113k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
E
ECB Interest Rates: January 2025

25 bps decrease

$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
116
Ended
E
ECB rate cut in 2025?

ECB rate cut in 2025?

No

$327k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
E
ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

No change

$559k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
E
ECB Interest Rates: September 2026

25 bps increase

$602k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
E
ECB Interest Rates: December 2024

25 bps decrease

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
116
Ended
E
ECB rate hike in 2026?

ECB rate hike in 2026?

Yes

$166k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
E
ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

No change

$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
E
ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

25 bps Increase

$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
E
ECB Interest Rates: July 2025

No change

$953k Vol.
$0 Liq.
32
Ended
E
ECB Interest Rates: September 2025

No change

$2.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
E
ECB Interest Rates: October 2025

No change

$1.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
E
ECB Interest Rates: March 2026

No change

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
E
ECB Interest Rates: February 2026

No change

$2.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
E
ECB Interest Rates: December 2025

No change

$2.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
N
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates

Yes

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended