Presidential Nomination Predictions & Odds· 134 markets

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[Single Markets] Democratic Nominee 2024

Kamala Harris

$7.2m Vol.
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71
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[
[Single Markets] Republican Nominee 2024

Donald Trump

$7.6m Vol.
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33
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D
Democratic Nominee 2024

Democratic Nominee 2024

Kamala Harris

$327.9m Vol.
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2,488
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Republican Nominee 2024

Republican Nominee 2024

Donald Trump

$9.4m Vol.
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[Single Markets] Republican VP nominee?

Nikki Haley

$11k Vol.
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5
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Trump and Biden both win nomination?

No

$4.2m Vol.
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30
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Trump >50% chance of winning nomination after Super Tuesday?

Yes

$164 Vol.
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7
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Trump and Biden both lose nomination?

No

$12k Vol.
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1
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US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?

Trump Announce Fed

$58k Vol.
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5
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Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?

Yes

$6.2m Vol.
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Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?

Yes

$991k Vol.
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5
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Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?

January 31, 2026

$1.3m Vol.
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Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Keith Sonderling

$127k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
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Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?

Other

$213k Vol.
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2
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What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

January 30

$1.3m Vol.
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Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?

Other

$39k Vol.
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Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday?

No

$378k Vol.
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15
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Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?

No

$325k Vol.
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Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

Todd Blanche

$39k Vol.
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W
Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General by June 30?

Todd Blanche

$1.2m Vol.
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