Economic Policy Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

U
US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

18%

Yes

$436k Vol.
$949 Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

43%

<2.75%

$597 Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

67%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$96k Vol.
$5k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
W
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

69%

Yashar

$3k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

89%

Ra'am

$4k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of Israel Decision in October?

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

78%

No Change

$31k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

34%

5.9%+

$12k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 23 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$974k Vol.
$312k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$309 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Japan Decision in October?

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

83%

No change

$135k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
J
Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

4%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$145 Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
C
Core PCE MoM - August 2026

Core PCE MoM - August 2026

70%

0.3%

$18k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

57%

None before 2027

$72k Vol.
$250k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

4%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
C
Core PCE YoY - August 2026

Core PCE YoY - August 2026

31%

3.2%

$44k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

9%

Yes

$2.1m Vol.
$90k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

49%

0-1.0%

$54k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
U
US recession by end of 2027?

US recession by end of 2027?

35%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

64%

↓ 0.0030

$193k Vol.
$37k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

56%

↑ 2000

$642k Vol.
$69k Liq.
14
Ends in 3 months