Disclosure Predictions & Odds· 135 markets

O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

50%

The Odyssey

$220k Vol.
$206k Liq.
2
Ends in 6 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

100%

The Odyssey

$32k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in 4 months
W
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

82%

The Odyssey

$181k Vol.
$58k Liq.
9
Ends in 5 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner

50%

Movie A

$26k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 6 months
W
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

4%

Yes

$342k Vol.
$29k Liq.
45
Ends in 3 months
W
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

10%

Yes

$140k Vol.
$12k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

84%

October 31

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

6%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

47%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

28%

Google

$59k Vol.
$53k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?

5%

Yes

$387 Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

16%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$355 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
E
Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

5%

October 31

$4.4m Vol.
$6k Liq.
1,049
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

27%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026

50%

Anthropic

$342 Vol.
$61 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

36%

$900B-$1.00T

$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

87%

$900B-$1.00T

$27k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

88%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$23k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
W
Who will post about $LAPTOP by September 30?

7%

Changpeng Zhao (CZ)

$64k Vol.
$15k Liq.
4
Ends in 10 days