Disclosure Predictions & Odds· 146 markets

O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

50%

Film D

$221k Vol.
$198k Liq.
2
Ends in 6 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

100%

The Odyssey

$32k Vol.
$21k Liq.
4
Ends in 4 months
W
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

82%

The Odyssey

$181k Vol.
$50k Liq.
9
Ends in 5 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner

50%

Movie A

$26k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 6 months
W
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

4%

Yes

$342k Vol.
$30k Liq.
45
Ends in 3 months
W
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

10%

Yes

$140k Vol.
$13k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

83%

October 31

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

47%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
G
Greenland deal text released by...?

Greenland deal text released by...?

77%

September 30

$22k Vol.
$4k Liq.
3
Ends in 10 days
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

32%

Yes

$318 Vol.
$153 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
"
"Disclosure Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office

<20m

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
"
"Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office

43-47m

$370k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
When will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill into Law?

November 19

$2.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
315
Ended
H
House passes Epstein disclosure bill on Tuesday?

Yes

$143k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended
H
How many senators vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill?

95+

$245k Vol.
$0 Liq.
38
Ended
W
Which senators vote for Epstein disclosure bill?

Mitch McConnell

$102k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
Ended
W
Who will vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?

Mike Johnson

$179k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
T
Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?

No

$86k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended