Diplomacy Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

87%

December 31, 2026

$17k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

35%

USA

$15k Vol.
$146k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

43%

December 31

$201k Vol.
$50k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

88%

December 31

$264k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

80%

October 31

$109 Vol.
$452 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

17%

October 31

$16k Vol.
$934 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by...?

26%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$158 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
N
North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect)

67%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$134 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
I
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

4%

Yes

$98k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
U
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

27%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$324 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

4%

Yes

$114k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

5%

Yes

$350k Vol.
$27k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

78%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$990k Vol.
$233k Liq.
🔥$79k today
Ends in 9 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1000k Vol.
$269k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

70%

December 31

$807k Vol.
$114k Liq.
38
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

9%

Yes

$3.5m Vol.
$10k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

8%

Yes

$2.1m Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

8%

Yes

$239k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

8%

Yes

$442k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months