Diplomacy Predictions & Odds· 113 markets

R
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

86%

December 31

$251k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

44%

December 31

$191k Vol.
$37k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

5%

Yes

$350k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
U
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

26%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$618 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

23%

October 31

$16k Vol.
$395 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by...?

44%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$113 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
N
North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect)

70%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$148 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
I
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

4%

Yes

$98k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
U
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

4%

Yes

$114k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

72%

March 31, 2027

$11.9m Vol.
$209k Liq.
🔥$130k today
Ends in 6 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

38%

Jared Kushner

$870k Vol.
$319k Liq.
🔥$93k today
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

85%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.4m Vol.
$818k Liq.
🔥$58k today
Ends in 9 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$951k Vol.
$146k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

70%

December 31

$778k Vol.
$86k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

9%

Yes

$3.5m Vol.
$10k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

8%

Yes

$2.1m Vol.
$17k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

10%

Yes

$239k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

11%

Yes

$442k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

12%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$324 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months