Cricjclt10 Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

W
What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?

74%

↑ $15

$40 Vol.
$136 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

71%

↑ $25

$128 Vol.
$156 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

56%

December 31, 2027

$127k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
B
Best AI model on October 5?

Best AI model on October 5?

77%

Other

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

34%

1470+

$52k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Best AI model on September 28?

Best AI model on September 28?

55%

Other

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$227 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

86%

1500+

$138k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

8%

Yes

$207k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
F
FDA approves Unicycive’s Oxylanthanum Carbonate (OLC)?

No

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
32
Ended
F
FDA approves Insmed’s Brensocatib for bronchiectasis?

Yes

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended
#
# of CRA seats after the 2026 Japanese snap election?

<150

$36k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q2 MedTech revenue be above __?

$8.8B

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
FDA approves MannKind's FUROSCIX ReadyFlow Autoinjector?

Yes

$778 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
FDA approves Dordaviprone?

FDA approves Dordaviprone?

Yes

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended