Climate Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

22%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$449 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will it rain on September 20?

88%

New York, NY

$0 Vol.
$529 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

45%

1.40–1.44ºC

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
W
Where will it rain on September 19?

Where will it rain on September 19?

100%

Chicago, IL

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 19 hours
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

74%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$215k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$328 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$506 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
S
September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

97%

2nd hottest

$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

14%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$901k Vol.
$292k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

78%

Yes

$703 Vol.
$507 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

27%

Hanna

$29k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
W
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of September 21 2026?

51%

↓ $2.30

$369 Vol.
$50 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
H
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

61%

1-3

$32k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?

100%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

44%

↓ 0.40

$79k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

37%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$64 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$512 Liq.
Ends in 3 months