Climate Weather Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

23%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$315 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
W
Where will it rain on September 20?

100%

New York, NY

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
Where will it rain on September 21?

Where will it rain on September 21?

83%

Boston, MA

$401 Vol.
$988 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
Where will it rain on September 19?

Where will it rain on September 19?

100%

Denver, CO

$7k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 29 minutes
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

46%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
W
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$813 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

75%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$224k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?

100%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$254 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

97%

2nd hottest

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

73%

Yes

$713 Vol.
$444 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

23%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$48 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest temperature in London on September 20?

99%

20°C

$62k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ended
L
Lowest temperature in London on September 20?

38%

15°C

$7k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ended
H
Highest temperature in London on September 21?

Highest temperature in London on September 21?

51%

22°C

$33k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
L
Lowest temperature in London on September 21?

Lowest temperature in London on September 21?

49%

11°C

$5k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
H
Highest temperature in London on September 22?

41%

24°C

$6k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$333 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months