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Climate Weather Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

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Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

Weather·climate

Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

23%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$248 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
First snow of the 2026 season

Weather·SNOW

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
W
Where will it rain on September 20?

Weather·Recurring

Where will it rain on September 20?

100%

New York, NY

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
W
Where will it rain on September 21?

Weather·Recurring

Where will it rain on September 21?

99%

New York, NY

$2k Vol.
$797 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Weather·climate

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

45%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

Weather·climate

Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Culture·Weather & Science

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

73%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$284k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
S
September 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Weather·Global Temp

September 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.23-1.28

$2.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
87
Ended
W
Where will it rain on September 17?

Weather·Recurring

Where will it rain on September 17?

Chicago, IL

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Where will it rain on September 8?

Weather·rain

Where will it rain on September 8?

New Orleans, LA

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Where will it rain on September 3?

Weather·rain

Where will it rain on September 3?

New York, NY

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
August 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Global Temp · Science

August 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

>1.29

$1.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
105
Ended
W
Where will it rain on September 5?

Weather·rain

Where will it rain on September 5?

Atlanta, GA

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Where will it rain on September 10?

Weather·rain

Where will it rain on September 10?

New York, NY

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Where will it rain on September 11?

Weather·Recurring

Where will it rain on September 11?

Houston, TX

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Where will it rain on September 2?

Weather·rain

Where will it rain on September 2?

New York, NY

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Where will it rain on September 7?

Weather·rain

Where will it rain on September 7?

Los Angeles, CA

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Where will it rain on September 14?

Weather·Recurring

Where will it rain on September 14?

Miami, FL

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Where will it rain on September 13?

Weather·Recurring

Where will it rain on September 13?

New York, NY

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
O
October 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Weather·climate

October 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.29-1.34

$864k Vol.
$0 Liq.
29
Ended

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