Climate Weather Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

23%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$267 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
W
Where will it rain on September 20?

100%

New York, NY

$7k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ended
W
Where will it rain on September 21?

Where will it rain on September 21?

100%

New York, NY

$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
W
Where will it rain on September 22?

Where will it rain on September 22?

74%

Philadelphia, PA

$200 Vol.
$693 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

52%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

75%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$207k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
S
September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

97%

2nd hottest

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
S
September 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.23-1.28

$2.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
87
Ended
W
Where will it rain on September 8?

New Orleans, LA

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Where will it rain on September 3?

New York, NY

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
August 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Global Temp · Science

August 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

>1.29

$1.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
105
Ended
W
Where will it rain on September 5?

Atlanta, GA

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Where will it rain on September 10?

New York, NY

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Where will it rain on September 11?

Houston, TX

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Where will it rain on September 2?

New York, NY

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Where will it rain on September 7?

Los Angeles, CA

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Where will it rain on September 14?

Miami, FL

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Where will it rain on September 13?

New York, NY

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended