Climate Weather Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

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Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

23%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$597 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
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Where will it rain on September 23?

Where will it rain on September 23?

99%

Washington, DC

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 3 hours
W
Where will it rain on September 24?

86%

Seattle, WA

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
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Where will it rain on September 25?

94%

Seattle, WA

$600 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

49%

1.35–1.39ºC

$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$776 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

76%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$213k Liq.
28
Ends in 5 months
W
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

79%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$271 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

14%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$48 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$147k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
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Lowest temperature in London on September 25?

Lowest temperature in London on September 25?

42%

13°C

$1k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$299 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest temperature in London on September 25?

Highest temperature in London on September 25?

38%

24°C

$15k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
H
Highest temperature in London on September 24?

65%

21°C

$81k Vol.
$75k Liq.
🔥$57k today
Ended
W
Where will it rain on August 10?

Singapore

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
L
Lowest temperature in London on September 24?

99%

12°C

$4k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ended
L
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 25?

41%

23°C or higher

$206 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
H
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 25?

Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 25?

51%

33°C

$11k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours