Climate Weather Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

23%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$316 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
W
Where will it rain on September 23?

Where will it rain on September 23?

99%

Washington, DC

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
W
Where will it rain on September 24?

89%

Seattle, WA

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

49%

1.35–1.39ºC

$3k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$776 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

95%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

75%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$213k Liq.
28
Ends in 5 months
W
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

77%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$250 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

14%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$53 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$279k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
L
Lowest temperature in London on September 25?

39%

13°C

$760 Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

13%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$296 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest temperature in London on September 25?

34%

25°C

$5k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
H
Highest temperature in London on September 24?

53%

22°C

$29k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
W
Where will it rain on August 10?

Singapore

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
L
Lowest temperature in London on September 24?

90%

12°C

$3k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
H
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 25?

39%

33°C

$4k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
L
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 25?

47%

13°C or below

$0 Vol.
$896 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
L
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 24?

51%

17°C

$51 Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours