Climate Weather Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

22%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$389 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
W
Where will it rain on September 19?

Where will it rain on September 19?

100%

Chicago, IL

$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

47%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
W
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$561 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

73%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$227k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
W
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?

100%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

78%

Yes

$703 Vol.
$491 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
S
September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

97%

2nd hottest

$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

21%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$47 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$289k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest temperature in London on September 20?

59%

20°C

$32k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
L
Lowest temperature in London on September 20?

34%

14°C

$7k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
H
Highest temperature in London on September 21?

49%

23°C

$14k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
L
Lowest temperature in London on September 21?

40%

11°C

$2k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
H
Highest temperature in London on September 22?

45%

24°C

$693 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$336 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
L
Lowest temperature in London on September 22?

23%

15°C

$238 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
H
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 20?

Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 20?

53%

27°C

$32k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours