Climate Science Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
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Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

22%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$446 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

45%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k Vol.
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W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

74%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$215k Liq.
27
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W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

14%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$901k Vol.
$292k Liq.
8
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M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$328 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

94%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
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What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

44%

↓ 0.40

$79k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

73%

Over 2.5

$46k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Where will it rain on September 20?

88%

New York, NY

$0 Vol.
$529 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
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Where will it rain on September 19?

Where will it rain on September 19?

100%

Chicago, IL

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$3k Liq.
Ends in about 19 hours
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What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

28%

↑ 0.30

$304k Vol.
$957 Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

78%

Yes

$703 Vol.
$507 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

7%

Yes

$147k Vol.
$9k Liq.
9
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W
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$536 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of September 21 2026?

50%

↑ $3.60

$369 Vol.
$50 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
What will SpaceX (SPCX) hit in September 2026?

61%

↑ $160

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
What price will Solana hit in 2026?

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

79%

↑ 120

$2.0m Vol.
$684k Liq.
Ends in 3 months