Claudine Gay Predictions & Odds· 157 markets

N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

85%

1500+

$143k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

86%

50%+

$37k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

92%

55%+

$124k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

85%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

99%

December 31

$42k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released on...?

Next Claude Sonnet released on...?

35%

September 30

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 21 days
C
Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

78%

$15+

$863 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

73%

5-7

$22k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

96%

December 31

$12k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude Sonnet 5.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

Claude Sonnet 5.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

73%

$5+

$235 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

91%

December 31, 2027

$28k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?

42%

↑ $55

$110 Vol.
$974 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

75%

$40+

$60 Vol.
$413 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?

38%

↑ $15

$60 Vol.
$385 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

42%

↑ $25

$0 Vol.
$522 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026?

Sports · lazio

Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026?

47%

Yes

$737 Vol.
$90 Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
C
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

4%

Yes

$287k Vol.
$12k Liq.
71
Ended
C
Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ceará Governor Election Winner

56%

Elmano de Freitas

$293k Vol.
$264k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
N
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

54%

Ulrich Siegmund

$353k Vol.
$219k Liq.
11
Ends in 8 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

36%

None before 2027

$580k Vol.
$573k Liq.
Ends in 3 months