Claudine Gay Predictions & Odds· 142 markets

N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

82%

1500+

$121k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

99%

December 31

$39k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

89%

55%+

$119k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

97%

50%+

$28k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

73%

5-7

$20k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

95%

December 31

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

91%

December 31, 2027

$27k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
C
Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026?

Sports · lazio

Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026?

47%

Yes

$737 Vol.
$90 Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
C
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

4%

Yes

$287k Vol.
$12k Liq.
71
Ended
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

36%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

$558k Vol.
$673k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

50%

Candidate E

$343k Vol.
$240k Liq.
11
Ends in 8 months
C
Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ceará Governor Election Winner

53%

Ciro Gomes

$261k Vol.
$209k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
B
Best AI model on September 28?

Best AI model on September 28?

70%

Other

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
B
Best AI model on October 5?

Best AI model on October 5?

72%

Other

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
W
Who will Trump publicly praise in September?

59%

Javier Milei

$53k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Soccer · Sports

Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

95%

Alexia Putellas

$7k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Person A

$6k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
J
Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

54%

Sol Zanetti

$8k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
B
Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Person A

$5k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
N
Next Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

98%

Manuela Schwesig

$44k Vol.
$81k Liq.
1
Ends in 8 months