Claudine Gay Predictions & Odds· 143 markets

N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

84%

1500+

$127k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

99%

December 31

$39k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$29k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

89%

55%+

$119k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

71%

5-7

$20k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

91%

December 31, 2027

$28k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

96%

December 31

$11k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

52%

December 31

$45 Vol.
$63 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026?

Sports · lazio

Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026?

47%

Yes

$737 Vol.
$92 Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
C
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

4%

Yes

$287k Vol.
$12k Liq.
71
Ended
C
Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ceará Governor Election Winner

57%

Elmano de Freitas

$283k Vol.
$205k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

37%

None before 2027

$570k Vol.
$568k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

50%

Candidate E

$344k Vol.
$217k Liq.
11
Ends in 8 months
W
Who will Trump publicly praise in September?

58%

Bryson DeChambeau

$55k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
B
Best AI model on October 5?

Best AI model on October 5?

67%

Other

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
B
Best AI model on September 28?

Best AI model on September 28?

60%

Other

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Soccer · Sports

Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

94%

Alexia Putellas

$8k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Person A

$6k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
J
Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Claude Villeneuve

$8k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
B
Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

52%

Claude Reid

$5k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 12 days