Claude Predictions & Odds· 482 markets

N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

82%

1500+

$120k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

99%

December 31

$39k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

89%

55%+

$119k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

97%

50%+

$27k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

73%

5-7

$20k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

95%

December 31

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

91%

December 31, 2027

$27k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
B
Best AI model on September 28?

Best AI model on September 28?

63%

Other

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
B
Best AI model on October 5?

Best AI model on October 5?

73%

Other

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
G
Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Person A

$6k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
B
Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Person A

$5k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
J
Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

50%

Sol Zanetti

$8k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

36%

1470+

$44k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

92%

December 31

$28k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
ITF Rognac: Clement Lemire vs Andrea Colombo

Tennis · Sports

ITF Rognac: Clement Lemire vs Andrea Colombo

Clement Lemire

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

September 22

$495k Vol.
$0 Liq.
🔥$102k today
Ends in 7 days
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

October 31

$359k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

Anthropic resets Claude usage limit by...?

September 30

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month