China Talk Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

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What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$267k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?

52%

China 5+ times

$24k Vol.
$62k Liq.
2
Ends in 1 day
W
Will Trump insult Xi by end of US Visit?

1%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
U
US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

3%

Yes

$213k Vol.
$23k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

15%

Dong Jun

$222k Vol.
$91k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
C
China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

7%

Yes

$331k Vol.
$13k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
C
China coup attempt before 2027?

China coup attempt before 2027?

4%

Yes

$159k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

6%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$51k Liq.
31
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

100%

Xi Jinping

$173k Vol.
$128k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
R
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

13%

December 31

$4k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

73%

Moonshot

$64k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
C
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

27%

Yes

$483k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

66%

Z.ai

$136k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

13%

#3

$247k Vol.
$23k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

91%

Alibaba

$613k Vol.
$101k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

50%

Other

$18k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

1%

Yes

$26k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
X
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

4%

Yes

$13.9m Vol.
$517k Liq.
🔥$61k today
709
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

50%

Other

$32k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month