China Talk Predictions & Odds· 202 markets

W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%

Yes

$42.6m Vol.
$560k Liq.
73
Ends in 3 months
C
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

35%

4.3-4.6%

$46k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
W
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

0%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$97k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

10%

Yes

$36k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

6%

Yes

$3.4m Vol.
$98k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

93%

Yes

$266k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

9%

Yes

$455k Vol.
$81k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
C
China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

6%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$33k Liq.
31
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

12%

Yes

$3.2m Vol.
$178k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
H
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

39%

8

$58k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

3%

Yes

$370k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?

6%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$543 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
C
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

28%

Yes

$482k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
China PR vs. Palestine

Sports · Games

China PR vs. Palestine

68%

China PR

$62 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
C
China coup attempt before 2027?

China coup attempt before 2027?

6%

Yes

$159k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

3%

Yes

$1.1m Vol.
$22k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

3%

Yes

$213k Vol.
$23k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
P
People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?

99%

No Change

$55k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
C
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

29%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$685 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

17%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months