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Merz Predictions & Odds· 280 markets

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F
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

Politics·Germany

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

23%

December 31, 2026

$2.1m Vol.
$215k Liq.
🔥$360k today
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Politics·Starmer

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$392k Vol.
$624k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

92%

Delcy Rodríguez

$1.1m Vol.
$217k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump speak to in September?

99%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$154k Vol.
$121k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

Culture·Trump

Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

78%

Mark Carney

$138k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Geopolitics·Ukraine

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

45%

Ursula von der Leyen

$545k Vol.
$38k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

Culture·Trump

Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

47%

Zohran Mamdani

$71k Vol.
$366 Liq.
Ended
N
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

World·Germany

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

50%

Person A

$29k Vol.
$202k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will Trump say during events with Chancellor Merz on March 3?

Mentions·Trump

What will Trump say during events with Chancellor Merz on March 3?

Percent 7+ times

$188k Vol.
$0 Liq.
34
Ended
F
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?

Politics·Germany

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?

No

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Trump say during Merz events on June 5?

Mentions·Trump

What will Trump say during Merz events on June 5?

Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times

$551k Vol.
$0 Liq.
141
Ended
F
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?

World·Germany

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?

No

$217k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Next leader out of power in 2025?

World · Geopolitics

Next leader out of power in 2025?

None in 2025

$2.2m Vol.
$7k Liq.
17
Ended
W
Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?

World·world affairs

Who will attend King Harald V's funeral?

Mette Frederiksen

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will Trump speak to in August?

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump speak to in August?

Mohammed bin Salman

$128k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?

Culture·Trump

Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?

Tucker Carlson

$3.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will Trump speak to in July?

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump speak to in July?

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will Trump speak to in June?

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump speak to in June?

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Politics·Trump

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Tucker Carlson

$3.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Politics·Starmer

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Starmer - UK PM

$67.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
114
Ends in 3 months

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