Censure Predictions & Odds· 118 markets

W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

23%

December 31, 2026

$427k Vol.
$8k Liq.
45
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran full airspace closure by...?

Iran · close

Iran full airspace closure by...?

28%

December 31

$9.7m Vol.
$55k Liq.
1,015
Ends in 3 months
U
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - September 2026

74%

46.0 to 48.9

$11k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
I
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

56%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$806 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

49%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$303 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

58%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$149 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
M
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

72%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$48 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

37%

Yes

$95 Vol.
$175 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Arizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?

80%

Yes

$453 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?

49%

Yes

$270 Vol.
$556 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

36%

Yes

$576 Vol.
$494 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
L
League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?

67%

Yes

$377 Vol.
$288 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

53%

Yes

$623 Vol.
$583 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

65%

Yes

$182 Vol.
$419 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?

53%

Yes

$147 Vol.
$174 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?

83%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 6 months
I
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

21%

December 31

$67k Vol.
$98k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Group A

54%

Drama eSports

$999 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
C
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

55%

GamerLegion

$18 Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
C
Counter-Strike: ENRAGE vs Privateer Gaming (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

29%

ENRAGE

$30 Vol.
$210 Liq.
Ended