Censure Predictions & Odds· 118 markets

I
Iran full airspace closure by...?

Iran · close

Iran full airspace closure by...?

26%

December 31

$9.7m Vol.
$58k Liq.
1,015
Ends in 4 months
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

28%

December 31, 2026

$431k Vol.
$50k Liq.
46
Ends in 3 months
U
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - September 2026

74%

46.0 to 48.9

$11k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
I
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

56%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$810 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

33%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$309 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

71%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$30 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

36%

Yes

$95 Vol.
$170 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Arizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?

80%

Yes

$453 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?

49%

Yes

$270 Vol.
$551 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

32%

Yes

$576 Vol.
$294 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
L
League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?

64%

Yes

$377 Vol.
$255 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

48%

Yes

$623 Vol.
$566 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

57%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$124 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

62%

Yes

$182 Vol.
$407 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?

63%

Yes

$147 Vol.
$181 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?

84%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in 6 months
I
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

21%

December 31

$70k Vol.
$109k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffs

54%

Leo Team

$825 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
C
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Orgless (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Orgless (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffs

52%

MARKandLARRY

$1k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
C
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

56%

GamerLegion

$18 Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 4 days