Board Changes Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

T
Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?

Taiwan Arms Sales Halt

$1.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
267
Ended
O
OpenAI board out by end of week?

All · OpenAI

OpenAI board out by end of week?

No

$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
T
Trump announces Lisa Cook replacement by August 31?

No

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30?

All · adam d'angelo

Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30?

No

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will Trump announce as Lisa Cook replacement?

No announcement by December 31

$662k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
M
Major US official out by May 31?

Yes

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
Major US official out by April 30?

No

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August

No change

$124k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
L
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?

September 30

$10.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,094
Ended
W
Will the NBA alter draft lottery rules?

Basketball · Sports

Will the NBA alter draft lottery rules?

Yes

$571 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
J
Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

May 31

$356k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
Ended
V
Vivek out as Head of DOGE before July?

Yes

$123k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

May 15–22

$303k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
S
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

All · sam altman

Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

No

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in February

Increase

$223k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Sally Kornbluth out as MIT President in January?

No

$40 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Bank of Brazil decision in September?

25 bps decrease

$170k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
T
Trump drops Powell investigation before Warsh is confirmed?

Yes

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of Brazil decision in August?

25 bps decrease

$245k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May?

Increase

$95k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended