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Bank Failure Predictions & Odds· 135 markets

AllPoliticsIranBusinessFinanceEconomy1Peace DealNegotiation TopicsBanking IndustryUS BankNuclearTechGeopoliticsBanksEconomyRecurringBig TechUraniumU.S. X IranEnrichFund
U
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

Economy·banks

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

57%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$774 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Finance·Business

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

3%

RBC

$76k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Economy·Recurring

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

5%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$778 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
AI bubble burst by...?

Tech·Business

AI bubble burst by...?

21%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m Vol.
$40k Liq.
97
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Politics·Fund

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$271k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US bank failure in February?

Finance·All

US bank failure in February?

No

$117k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
U
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

Economy·banks

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

Yes

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US bank failure by July 31?

Economy·Business

US bank failure by July 31?

Yes

$96k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

Economy·banks

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

Yes

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US bank failure by June 30?

Finance·Business

US bank failure by June 30?

No

$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US bank failure by May 31?

Economy·Business

US bank failure by May 31?

No

$20k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US bank failure by May 31?

Economy·Business

US bank failure by May 31?

Yes

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US bank failure by June 30?

Economy·Business

US bank failure by June 30?

Yes

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US bank failure by December 31?

Economy·Business

US bank failure by December 31?

Yes

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US bank failure by April 30?

Economy·Business

US bank failure by April 30?

No

$26k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Another US bank failure by February 28?

Economy·Business

Another US bank failure by February 28?

No

$103k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Another US bank failure by March 31?

Economy·Business

Another US bank failure by March 31?

No

$114k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US bank failure by February 28?

Finance·Business

US bank failure by February 28?

Yes

$78k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US bank failure by January 31?

Economy·Business

US bank failure by January 31?

Yes

$693k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US bank failure by...?

Finance·Business

US bank failure by...?

September 30

$99k Vol.
$0 Liq.
-1
Ended

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