Banking Industry Predictions & Odds· 120 markets

W
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

4%

BMO

$76k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Israel Decision in October?

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

86%

No Change

$24k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

33%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$664 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?

4%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$93 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$334 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

32%

September 30

$6k Vol.
$446 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

7%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$820 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

IPOs · OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

84%

Goldman Sachs

$53k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$288k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above __?

$2.1B

$168k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above __?

$2.55B

$58k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Klarna say during their next earnings call?

Percent 40+ times

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will be said say during FED board meeting on Oct 24?

Federal Reserve 5+ times

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
What will Powell say at Princeton Commencement Speech?

Federal Reserve 2+

$142k Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended
W
Which banks will fail by June 30?

JPMorgan Chase

$591k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US bank failure by June 30?

Business · Banking

US bank failure by June 30?

No

$60k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
A
Alan Keating VPIP above 85%? - Celebrity poker game

Poker warning · Sports

Alan Keating VPIP above 85%? - Celebrity poker game

Yes

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
Crypto Boxing

Crypto Boxing

$2.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
47
Ended
W
Who will Biden nominate to be next FDIC Chairman?

Other

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended