Bank Failure Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

U
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?

47%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$625 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

3%

RBC

$76k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

7%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$821 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$792k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$943k Vol.
$266k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
A
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

11%

Yes

$3.0m Vol.
$17k Liq.
96
Ends in 3 months
M
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

4%

Yes

$135k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

20%

December 31, 2029

$50k Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
4
Ends in over 3 years
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$333 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
S
SPLC found guilty in 2026?

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

8%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$287 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Israel Decision in October?

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

86%

No Change

$24k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

57%

Alliance

$13 Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
C
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Vlad to the Bone666 (BO3) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs
$341 Vol.
$1 Liq.
Ended
C
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A

68%

paiN

$69 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?

8%

Yes

$137k Vol.
$26k Liq.
28
Ends in 3 months
L
LoL: paiN Gaming vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Esports · league of legends

LoL: paiN Gaming vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

46%

paiN Gaming

$482k Vol.
$516k Liq.
🔥$482k today
Ends in about 4 hours
U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

2%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will BNB hit in 2026?

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

55%

↓ 650

$176k Vol.
$89k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$564k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
E
ECB rate cut in 2026?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

5%

Yes

$33k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months