Ban Predictions & Odds· 1974 markets

U
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

6%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
UK social media ban in effect by…?

UK social media ban in effect by…?

40%

June 30, 2027

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

28%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$280 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

21%

December 31, 2029

$45k Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
1
Ends in over 3 years
C
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

23%

December 31, 2029

$31k Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
1
Ends in over 3 years
N
NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?

NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?

24%

December 31, 2029

$50k Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
Ends in over 3 years
B
Bank of Korea decision in November?

Bank of Korea decision in November?

57%

No Change

$20k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Bank of Brazil decision in December?

Bank of Brazil decision in December?

56%

No Change

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September

92%

25 bps increase

$87k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
R
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

72%

25 bps increase

$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

IPOs · OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

84%

Goldman Sachs

$53k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

20%

December 31, 2029

$41k Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
4
Ends in over 3 years
B
Bank of Japan Decision in October?

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

82%

No change

$127k Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of Russia decision in October?

Bank of Russia decision in October?

68%

No Change

$34k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of Canada Decision in October?

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

63%

No Change

$89k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of Israel Decision in October?

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

86%

No Change

$24k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Payward announces bankruptcy by...?

Payward announces bankruptcy by...?

28%

December 31, 2029

$6k Vol.
$480k Liq.
Ends in over 3 years
B
Bank of Japan Decision in December?

Bank of Japan Decision in December?

53%

25 bps increase

$905 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?

8%

Yes

$137k Vol.
$24k Liq.
28
Ends in 3 months
R
Reserve Bank of India decision in October

Reserve Bank of India decision in October

70%

25 bps increase

$15k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 17 days