August 6 Primaries Predictions & Odds· 125 markets

J
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?

30%

Yes

$125k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
C
Core PCE YoY - August 2026

Core PCE YoY - August 2026

34%

3.4%

$25k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

51%

October 12–October 18

$61k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory

98%

Pappas 30–35%

$6k Vol.
$99k Liq.
Ended
L
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

3%

Misti Cordell

$64k Vol.
$60k Liq.
1
Ended
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

89%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
O
OR-06 House Election Winner

OR-06 House Election Winner

96%

Andrea Salinas (D)

$27k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

92%

Canceled

$228k Vol.
$89k Liq.
31
Ends in 21 days
S
SC-06 House Election Winner

SC-06 House Election Winner

95%

Jim Clyburn (D)

$35k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Brazil bans Discord by...?

Brazil bans Discord by...?

2%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 10 days
M
MO-06 House Election Winner

MO-06 House Election Winner

95%

Chris Stigall (R)

$46k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
GA-06 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$6k Vol.
$80k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
MA-06 House Election Winner

MA-06 House Election Winner

96%

Dan Koh (D)

$27k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
IN-06 House Election Winner

IN-06 House Election Winner

95%

Jefferson Shreve (R)

$37k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

68%

Olivier Faure

$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$289k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

55%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$317 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Buianov Eduard vs. Mihalachi Igor

Sports · Games

Buianov Eduard vs. Mihalachi Igor

50%

Buianov Eduard

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended