Artificial General Intelligence Predictions & Odds· 117 markets

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What will Trump say in December?

Mentions · Politics

What will Trump say in December?

The Apprentice

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What will Elon Musk say during AMA on August 6?

Grok 5+ times

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What will Trump say during meeting with NATO Secretary General today?

NATO 5+ times

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What will Trump say during Friday roundtable?

Million / Billion 15+ times

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What will Trump post this week? (April 20 - April 26)

Ass

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What will John Oliver say during Last Week Tonight on February 22?

People 10+ times

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OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

No

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OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?

No

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OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?

All · OpenAI

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?

No

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OpenAI’s Astra Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+

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Ends in 3 months
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GPT-Bidi-1 released by...?

GPT-Bidi-1 released by...?

July 31

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OpenAI apologizes to Scarlett Johansson by Friday?

Yes

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Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?

May 31

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Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Yes

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Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)

No

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How high will AI score on ARC-AGI-2?

≥85% by November 3

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Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?

Moonshot

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Apple x OpenAI partnership announced in WWDC 2024?

Yes

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Scarlett Johansson sues OpenAI in May?

No

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