Arrest Predictions & Odds· 424 markets

W
Who will be arrested before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

21%

John Brennan

$449k Vol.
$711k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
C
Clavicular arrested by...?

Clavicular arrested by...?

5%

September 30

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1
Ends in 8 days
M
Masoud Pezeshkian arrested by September 28?

1%

Yes

$1k Vol.
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Ends in 6 days
N
Netanyahu arrested by…?

Netanyahu arrested by…?

3%

December 31

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1
Ends in about 1 month
A
Abbas Araghchi arrested by September 28?

1%

Yes

$794 Vol.
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Ends in 6 days
H
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?

Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?

66%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$149 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
L
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

8%

Yes

$548k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
P
Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?

Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?

1%

Yes

$3k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
W
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by...?

8%

Yes

$57k Vol.
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16
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G
Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

83%

Yes

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7
Ends in 3 months
E
Eric Swalwell arrested by September 30?

50%

Yes

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$3 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
K
Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?

Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?

1%

Yes

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2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Phoebe Gates be arrested by September 30?

1%

Yes

$208 Vol.
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Ends in 8 days
V
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?

Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?

10%

Yes

$39k Vol.
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9
Ends in 3 months
D
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?

Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?

3%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$665 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?

2%

Yes

$7k Vol.
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4
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S
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

38%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$225 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
E
Evo Morales arrested by...?

Evo Morales arrested by...?

26%

Yes

$42k Vol.
$61 Liq.
20
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W
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

69%

Juan Reyes Mejía González

$177k Vol.
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2
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O
Obama arrested before 2027?

Obama arrested before 2027?

3%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months