Ambassador Predictions & Odds· 166 markets

A
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by...?

21%

October 31

$42k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?

16%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

28%

Yes

$55k Vol.
$806 Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

4%

Yes

$106 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

26%

Yes

$33k Vol.
$247 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

52%

None before 2027

$73k Vol.
$242k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Pep Guardiola's next job be?

Soccer · Sports

What will Pep Guardiola's next job be?

50%

Job A

$0 Vol.
$227 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
H
How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

41%

5

$10k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?

No

$191k Vol.
$0 Liq.
22
Ended
W
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?

No

$102k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
U.S. Ambassador to Poland out by March 31?

Politics · Geopolitics

U.S. Ambassador to Poland out by March 31?

No

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
How many senators vote to confirm Mike Waltz as UN Ambassador?

48 or fewer

$26k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will Trump pick for Israeli Ambassador?

Other

$67k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
K
Kari Lake appointed ambassador to Mexico?

No

$36k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will Trump fire in first 100 days?

Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador)

$3.2m Vol.
$6k Liq.
19
Ended
W
What will Trump say this week (December 15 - 21)?

MAGA / Make America Great Again

$89k Vol.
$0 Liq.
22
Ended
W
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Pete Hegseth

$23.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,045
Ended