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Altman Predictions & Odds· 244 markets

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S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

Tech·AI

Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

4%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?

Politics·AI

Who will attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?

99%

Elon Musk

$15k Vol.
$57k Liq.
1
Ends in 15 days
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

Culture·magazine

TIME Person of the Year 2026

28%

Zohran Mamdani

$65k Vol.
$566k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

Tech·Elon

What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

100%

Tesla

$5k Vol.
$529 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Tech·Business

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

7%

Sundar Pichai - Google

$715k Vol.
$7k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI acquired before 2027?

Tech·AI

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

4%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hasman Michael vs. Polak Karel

Sports · Games

Hasman Michael vs. Polak Karel

5%

Hasman Michael

$0 Vol.
$160 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
H
Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Terence Atmane

Tennis · Sports

Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Terence Atmane

44%

Jaime Faria

$13k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

All · sam altman

Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31?

No

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

All · sam altman

Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

No

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Will Sam Altman tweet by Sunday?

All · social media

Will Sam Altman tweet by Sunday?

Yes

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
W
Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31?

All

Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31?

Yes

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?

All · sam altman

Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24?

No

$59k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister?

All · sam altman

Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister?

No

$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
S
Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30?

All · sam altman

Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30?

No

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?

All · sam altman

Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?

No

$25k Vol.
$2 Liq.
3
Ended
W
Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue?

All · sam altman

Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue?

No

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Tech·Elon Musk

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

No

$65k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

Tech·Elon Musk

Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

Yes

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
W
Will Elon Musk testify against Altman?

Tech·Elon Musk

Will Elon Musk testify against Altman?

Yes

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2

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