AI Technology Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

16%

Yes

$275k Vol.
$27k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

14%

Yes

$648 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

31%

Yes

$175k Vol.
$29k Liq.
🔥$72k today
20
Ends in 7 days
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

53%

Alibaba

$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

11%

Yes

$166k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

66%

Z.ai

$136k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

50%

Other

$32k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

50%

Other

$18k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

53%

Anthropic

$6k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

63%

Alibaba

$109k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

91%

Alibaba

$613k Vol.
$110k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

73%

Moonshot

$64k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?

61%

Google

$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

86%

OpenAI

$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?

78%

Google

$44k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

94%

OpenAI

$28k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?

93%

Google

$40k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 7 days