AI Technology Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

14%

Yes

$267k Vol.
$20k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

31%

Yes

$318 Vol.
$582 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

8%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 days
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

56%

Alibaba

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

7%

Yes

$149k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

76%

Z.ai

$134k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

50%

Other

$32k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

50%

Other

$18k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

53%

Anthropic

$6k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

66%

Alibaba

$107k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

89%

Alibaba

$568k Vol.
$106k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

74%

Moonshot

$64k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

81%

OpenAI

$4k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?

62%

Google

$42k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

92%

OpenAI

$27k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?

85%

Google

$28k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 8 days