Abbas Predictions & Odds· 141 markets

M
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

14%

Yes

$142k Vol.
$9k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
A
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

11%

December 31

$76k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$392k Vol.
$566k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

37%

Steve Witkoff

$777k Vol.
$328k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
M
M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Maurice-Noel Kaserer vs Paolo Gabriele Marino

Tennis · Sports

M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Maurice-Noel Kaserer vs Paolo Gabriele Marino

31%

Maurice-Noel Kaserer

$3 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Jaya Kapoor vs Amelie Worring La Torre

Tennis · Sports

W35 Sharm ElSheikh: Jaya Kapoor vs Amelie Worring La Torre

62%

Jaya Kapoor

$5 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M25 Setubal: Finn Murgett vs Pablo Martin Weinberg

Tennis · Sports

M25 Setubal: Finn Murgett vs Pablo Martin Weinberg

74%

Finn Murgett

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Leonardo Vega vs Nicolas Ulrich

Tennis · Sports

M25 Sharm ElSheikh: Leonardo Vega vs Nicolas Ulrich

14%

Leonardo Vega

$237 Vol.
$591 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
A
Abbas still President of Palestine by Jan 31?

Yes

$851 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

May 31

$103k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
M
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?

No

$32k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
Will Mahmoud Abbas attend the UN General Assembly?

No

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Next leader out of power in 2025?

World · Geopolitics

Next leader out of power in 2025?

None in 2025

$2.2m Vol.
$7k Liq.
17
Ended
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by August 31?

Donald Trump

$179k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?

Abbas Araghchi

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
32
Ended
W
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

Donald Trump

$2.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
51
Ended
N
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Starmer - UK PM

$67.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
114
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Politics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Orbán - Hungary PM

$7.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months