2024 Presidential Nomination Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$133k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

40%

Yes

$89 Vol.
$94 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
A
Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

27%

Under 45

$984 Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$10k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

50%

Person A

$20k Vol.
$157k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
R
Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$47k Vol.
$903k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

2%

Yes

$26k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

90%

J.D. Vance

$82k Vol.
$490k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
S
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

50%

Candidate A

$13k Vol.
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W
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

28%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$33k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$707.2m Vol.
$60.2m Liq.
🔥$287k today
1,033
Ends in about 2 years
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

13%

Gavin Newsom

$1.1m Vol.
$768k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
[
[Single Markets] Democratic Nominee 2024

Kamala Harris

$7.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
71
Ended
[
[Single Markets] Republican Nominee 2024

Donald Trump

$7.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended
D
Democratic Nominee 2024

Democratic Nominee 2024

Kamala Harris

$327.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
2,488
Ended
R
Republican Nominee 2024

Republican Nominee 2024

Donald Trump

$9.4m Vol.
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13
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[
[Single Markets] Republican VP nominee?

Nikki Haley

$11k Vol.
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5
Ended
B
Biden nominated before Democratic convention?

No

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36
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W
Will Biden or DeSantis file to run for president first?

Biden

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