2024 Republican Presidential Nomination Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

40%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$120 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

1%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
W
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$89k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

64%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

99%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

50%

Person A

$20k Vol.
$203k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

60%

Iowa

$1k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

32%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$42k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
[
[Single Markets] Republican Nominee 2024

Donald Trump

$7.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended
R
Republican Nominee 2024

Republican Nominee 2024

Donald Trump

$9.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended
[
[Single Markets] Republican VP nominee?

Nikki Haley

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
T
Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?

Yes

$991k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
T
Trump and Biden both win nomination?

No

$4.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
30
Ended
T
Trump and Biden both lose nomination?

No

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Will Biden or DeSantis file to run for president first?

Biden

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
T
Trump >50% chance of winning nomination after Super Tuesday?

Yes

$164 Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
W
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman?

No

$294k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended