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Public Policy 预测与赔率· 117 个市场

全部PoliticsCryptoDeprec USA ElectionIranUSBusinessFinanceTrumpAirdropsElectionsMiddle EastIsraelRegulationSam AltmanChinaCaliforniaPeace DealAINegotiation TopicsReferendumOpenAIAnthropicIPOsBoxingUKTweet MarketsUS ElectionNuclearUnited KingdomTechEnglandGeopoliticsPedophileJake PaulStarmerDeepSeekRecurringWorldBig TechMegaETHPre MarketIPOClaudeUraniumU.S. X IranCalifornia MidtermMoonshotLabourEnrichOpenAI IPOFundAnthropic IPODarioUK Labour LeadershipAndy BurnhamAI ReleasesAI RegulationASISafe SuperintelligenceHu JintaoAstraAI Safety
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Geopolitics·Middle East

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

20%

December 31

$7.2m 交易量
$113k 流动性
407
3 个月后结束
W
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

Finance·IPOs

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

50%

$ANTH

$110k 交易量
$9k 流动性
4
超过 1 年后结束
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

13%

Yes

$31k 交易量
$2k 流动性
3 个月后结束
R
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by...?

Tech·China

Ren Zhengfei public appearance by...?

79%

December 31

$11k 交易量
$13k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
S
SSI public model released by…?

Tech·AI

SSI public model released by…?

19%

October 31

$100k 交易量
$7k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

12%

Yes

$35k 交易量
$4k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
A
Astra removed from public access by...?

Tech·AI

Astra removed from public access by...?

7%

October 31

$2k 交易量
$2k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
H
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

Politics·China

Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

5%

Yes

$6k 交易量
$9k 流动性
5
3 个月后结束
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k 交易量
$5k 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
C
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

Politics·California

California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

44%

Yes

$0 交易量
$1k 流动性
6 个月后结束
W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

Finance·OpenAI

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

73%

$OAI

$15k 交易量
$10k 流动性
4
超过 1 年后结束
W
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

Politics·Boxing

Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

14%

Yes

$16k 交易量
$275 流动性
7
3 个月后结束
I
In which month will Anthropic IPO?

Finance·AI

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

48%

November 2026

$252k 交易量
$52k 流动性
3
超过 1 年后结束
L
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

IPOs · OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

83%

Goldman Sachs

$53k 交易量
$19k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
L
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Finance·IPO

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

59%

Morgan Stanley

$67k 交易量
$12k 流动性
1
超过 1 年后结束
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Politics·Fund

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$945k 交易量
$223k 流动性
8
3 个月后结束
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

Politics·Tweet Markets

White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

44%

200+

$6k 交易量
$7k 流动性
5 天后结束
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

Crypto·Airdrops

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m 交易量
$347 流动性
135
3 个月后结束
U
UK election called by...?

UK · pedophile

UK election called by...?

28%

June 30, 2027

$825k 交易量
$4k 流动性
14
9 个月后结束
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Politics·UK

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$106k 交易量
$171k 流动性
1
超过 1 年后结束

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